| Title:
|
Věda vs. konspirace: Má vůbec smysl diskutovat? (Czech) |
| Author:
|
Šlégrová, Leontýna |
| Author:
|
Šlégr, Jan |
| Language:
|
Czech |
| Journal:
|
Rozhledy matematicko-fyzikální |
| ISSN:
|
0035-9343 (print) |
| Volume:
|
101 |
| Issue:
|
1 |
| Year:
|
2026 |
| Pages:
|
31-40 |
| Summary lang:
|
Czech |
| . |
| Category:
|
physics |
| . |
| Summary:
|
V zĂĄvÄ reÄ nĂŠm dĂlu seriĂĄlu se zamÄ Ĺ ujeme na konspiraÄ nĂ tvrzenĂ zpochybĹ ujĂcĂ vliv Ä lovÄ ka na souÄ asnou zmÄ nu klimatu a ukazujeme, proÄ tato tvrzenĂ neobstojĂ v testu dĹŻkazĹŻ. Ukazujeme takĂŠ, Ĺže zĂĄkladnĂ princip sklenĂkovĂŠho efektu lze vysvÄ tlit pomocĂ jednoduchĂŠho fyzikĂĄlnĂho modelu zaloĹženĂŠho na tepelnĂŠ rovnovĂĄze ZemÄ , albedu a emisivitÄ atmosfĂŠry, tedy bez nutnosti opĂrat se o sloĹžitĂŠ numerickĂŠ simulace. DĂĄle shrnujeme, Ĺže klimatickĂŠ modely jsou pĹ i srovnĂĄnĂ s pozorovĂĄnĂm pĹ ekvapivÄ pĹ esnĂŠ, Ĺže spektrĂĄlnĂ mÄ Ĺ enĂ potvrzujĂ roli CO$_2$ a Ĺže â alternativnĂâ vysvÄ tlenĂ Ä asto selhĂĄvajĂ jak ve fyzice, tak v pĹ edpovÄ dĂch. V zĂĄvÄ ru pĹ ipomĂnĂĄme, Ĺže i kdyĹž diskuse se zastĂĄnci konspiraÄ nĂch teoriĂ jen zĹ Ădka vede ke zmÄ nÄ jejich nĂĄzoru, mĂĄ smysl kvĹŻli tÄ m, kdo si teprve utvĂĄĹ ejĂ pĹ edstavu o tom, jak ve vÄ dÄ fungujĂ dĹŻkazy. (Czech) |
| . |
| Date available:
|
2026-04-13T09:17:04Z |
| Last updated:
|
2026-04-13 |
| Stable URL:
|
http://hdl.handle.net/10338.dmlcz/153587 |
| . |
| Reference:
|
[1] Kawaguchi, K., Shakespeare, C. J., Roderick, M. L.: CO$_2$ Dependence in Global Estimation of All-Sky Downwelling Longwave: Parameterization and Model Comparison.Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (2024), 18, e2024GL110384, 1–12. 10.1029/2024GL110384 |
| Reference:
|
[2] Romps, D. M., Seeley, J. T., Edman, J. P.: Why the Forcing from Carbon Dioxide Scales as the Logarithm of Its Concentration.Journal of Climate, 35 (2022), 13, 4027–4047. 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0275.1 |
| Reference:
|
[3] Jeevanjee, N.: Climate sensitivity from radiative-convective equilibrium: A chalkboard approach.American Journal of Physics, 91 (2023), 9, 731–745. Dostupné z: https://pubs.aip.org/aapt/ajp/article/91/9/731/2906666/Climate-sensitivity-from-radiative-convective. 10.1119/5.0135727 |
| Reference:
|
[4] Hausfather, Z., Drake, H. F., Abbott, T., Schmidt, G. A.: Evaluating the performance of past climate model projections.Geophysical Research Letters, 47 (2020), 1, e2019GL085378, 1–10. Dostupné z: https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019gl085378. 10.1029/2019GL085378 |
| Reference:
|
[5] Halenka, T.: Nobelova cena za fyziku pro modelování změny klimatu.Pokroky matematiky, fyziky a astronomie, 67 (2022), 1, 1–16. Dostupné z: https://dml.cz/bitstream/handle/10338.dmlcz/150392/PokrokyMFA_67-2022-1_1.pdf. |
| Reference:
|
[6] Feldman, D. R., Collins, W. D., Gero, P. J., Torn, M. S., Mlawer, E. J., Shippert, T. R.: Observational determination of surface radiative forcing by CO$_2$ from 2000 to 2010.Nature, 519 (2015), 7543, 339–343. Dostupné z: https://www.nature.com/articles/nature14240. |
| Reference:
|
[7] NASA: Confirming a Critical Foundation of the Science of Global Warming.https://airs.jpl.nasa.gov/news/288/confirming-a-critical-foundation-of-the-science-of-global-warming/ |
| Reference:
|
[8] Santer, B. D., Po-Chedley, S., Zhao, L., Zou, C.-Z., Fu, Q., Solomon, S., Thompson, D. W. J., Mears, C., Taylor, K. E.: Exceptional stratospheric contribution to human fingerprints on atmospheric temperature.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 120 (2023), 20, Article e2300758120, 1–9. |
| Reference:
|
[9] Keeling, R. F., Shertz, S. R.: Seasonal and interannual variations in atmospheric oxygen and implications for the global carbon cycle.Nature, 358 (1992), DOI: 10.1038/358723a0, 723–727. 10.1038/358723a0 |
| Reference:
|
[10] Stefani, F.: Solar and anthropogenic influences on climate: regression analysis and tentative predictions.Nature, 9 (2021), 11, 163; https://doi.org/10.3390/cli9110163 1–25. Dostupné z: https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/9/11/163. 10.3390/cli9110163 |
| Reference:
|
[11] Scafetta, N.: Testing the CMIP6 GCM Simulations versus Surface Temperature Records from 1980– 1990 to 2011–2021: High ECS Is Not Supported.Climate, 9 (2021), 11, 163; https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/9/11/161, 1–30. Dostupné z: https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/9/11/161. |
| Reference:
|
[12] Foster, G., Rahmstorf, S.: Global warming has accelerated significantly.Geophysical Research Letters, 53 (2026), 5, e2025GL118804, 1–8. Dostupné z: https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2025GL118804. 10.1029/2025GL118804 |
| Reference:
|
[13] NASA: Graphic Temperature vs Solar Activity.https://science.nasa.gov/resource/graphic-temperature-vs-solar-activity/ |
| . |