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Title: Seasonal time-series imputation of gap missing algorithm (STIGMA) (English)
Author: Rangel-Heras, Eduardo
Author: Zuniga, Pavel
Author: Alanis, Alma Y.
Author: Hernandez-Vargas, Esteban A.
Author: Sanchez, Oscar D.
Language: English
Journal: Kybernetika
ISSN: 0023-5954 (print)
ISSN: 1805-949X (online)
Volume: 59
Issue: 6
Year: 2023
Pages: 861-879
Summary lang: English
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Category: math
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Summary: This work presents a new approach for the imputation of missing data in weather time-series from a seasonal pattern; the seasonal time-series imputation of gap missing algorithm (STIGMA). The algorithm takes advantage from a seasonal pattern for the imputation of unknown data by averaging available data. We test the algorithm using data measured every $10$ minutes over a period of $365$ days during the year 2010; the variables include global irradiance, diffuse irradiance, ultraviolet irradiance, and temperature, arranged in a matrix of dimensions $52,560$ rows for data points over time and $4$ columns for weather variables. The particularity of this work is that the algorithm is well-suited for the imputation of values when the missing data are presented continuously and in seasonal patterns. The algorithm employs a date-time index to collect available data for the imputation of missing data, repeating the process until all missing values are calculated. The tests are performed by removing $5\%$, $10\%$, $15\%$, $20\%$, $25\%$, and $30\%$ of the available data, and the results are compared to autoregressive models. The proposed algorithm has been successfully tested with a maximum of $2,736$ contiguous missing values that account for $19$ consecutive days of a single month; this dataset is a portion of all the missing values when the time-series lacks $30\%$ of all data. The metrics to measure the performance of the algorithms are root-mean-square error (RMSE) and the coefficient of determination ($R^{2}$). The results indicate that the proposed algorithm outperforms autoregressive models while preserving the seasonal behavior of the time-series. The STIGMA is also tested with non-weather time-series of beer sales and number of air passengers per month, which also have a cyclical pattern, and the results show the precise imputation of data. (English)
Keyword: contiguous missing values
Keyword: seasonal patterns
Keyword: time-series
MSC: 62-04
MSC: 68Pxx
DOI: 10.14736/kyb-2023-6-0861
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Date available: 2024-02-26T11:11:44Z
Last updated: 2024-02-26
Stable URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10338.dmlcz/152261
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