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Title: Chance-constrained reachability analysis for data-driven predictive control of unknown nonlinear systems (English)
Author: Ketema, Teketel
Author: Luleseged Tilahun, Surafel
Author: D. Zawka, Simon
Author: Geletu, Abebe
Language: English
Journal: Kybernetika
ISSN: 0023-5954 (print)
ISSN: 1805-949X (online)
Volume: 62
Issue: 2
Year: 2026
Pages: 305-331
Summary lang: English
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Category: math
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Summary: This study presents a novel data-driven predictive control approach for unknown nonlinear systems under bounded process and measurement noises. A chance-constrained reachability analysis control framework is proposed to provide probabilistic safety and robustness guarantees by characterizing the likely evolution of system behavior under risk-aware control. A zonotopic deep Koopman reachability analysis is used to design a data-driven controller without acquiring prior knowledge of the statistical properties of the noise. Unlike previous set-based approaches that enforce hard constraints under worst-case scenarios, the proposed method balances robustness and performance more effectively, reducing conservatism while still ensuring safety with bounded risk. It also guarantees recursive feasibility using a first-step constraint technique. A simulation study is conducted on a stirred-tank reactor system and a cart-damper-spring system to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach, with numerical results supporting the theoretical claims and highlighting its practical applicability. (English)
Keyword: reachability analysis
Keyword: chance constraint
Keyword: first-step constraint
Keyword: predictive control
Keyword: recursive feasibility
MSC: 93B03
MSC: 93C10
MSC: 93E20
MSC: 93E35
DOI: 10.14736/kyb-2026-2-0305
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Date available: 2026-05-21T18:21:47Z
Last updated: 2026-05-21
Stable URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10338.dmlcz/153636
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